Conservatives Lead in 100 Key Seats New Poll

The United Kingdom is years ahead of where Barack Obama wants to take the United States-government under Socialism.

However, British subjects are quite tired of big government controlling their lives and the tide is turning back to Conservatism.

Does that sound familiar?

From the UK Telepraph:

The Conservatives are on course for a convincing election victory after a new poll for The Daily Telegraph showed the party is leading Labour by 12 points in crucial marginal constituencies.

On the eve of tonight’s first ever leaders’ television debate, the most comprehensive survey of swing seats since the campaign began showed David Cameron comfortably ahead.

The poll by Crosby/Textor was carried out in 100 marginal seats; 80 held by Labour and 20 by the Liberal Democrats
43 per cent of voters questioned said they would vote Conservative, 31 per cent Labour and 20 Lib Dem.

Labour have dropped five points since the 2005 election in these seats, while the Tories have gained seven points, the poll showed.

The results suggest the Conservatives are much more likely to achieve an outright majority at the election than previously thought.

One recent poll indicated that the Tory lead had narrowed to just three points, making a hung parliament the most likely result.

However, it is in the marginal constituencies - where pollsters believe the election will be won or lost - that the Conservatives have concentrated most of their efforts.

This latest poll appears to suggest that the strategy - masterminded by Lord Ashcroft - is paying off.

The new poll also predicts that turnout in the marginals is likely to be better than many have predicted with 65 per cent of those questioned saying they would definitely vote.

A high turnout is likely to favour the Conservatives who need to win 117 seats from other parties to secure an overall majority. The party needs a national swing of almost seven per cent to achieve this.

As part of the unique poll for the Telegraph, Crosby/Textor told voters who their candidates are before asking them who they would vote for.
This gives a more accurate result because in marginal seats voters are more likely to be loyal to individual MPs than parties.

The poll found that the Tories would pick up 74 of the 100 seats from Labour. However, they would not pick up any of the seats held by Liberal Democrats.

When asked who do you think is winning the campaign so far, 52 per cent said the Tories, only 15 per cent Labour and just six the Lib Dems.
Full story

Via UK Telegraph

Via Memeorandum

The Last Tradition